Interest Rates: The Cause or The Result? A Chicken and Egg Problem Revisited (The Relationship between Interest Rates and Inflation in Turkey)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5136456Abstract
This paper investigates the validity of Fisher’s hypothesis and neo-Fisherian approach for Turkey using cointegration of Pesaran et al. (2001) as well as the methodology of Granger causality developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). The scope of the study focuses on flexible inflation targeting period in Turkey. Inflation uncertainty is estimated by employing the GARCH model for the period 2010:M10-2020:M5. Empirical results indicate that there is a positive and significant relationship between nominal interest rates, expected inflation and inflation uncertainty in the long run. The results of Toda and Yamamoto causality suggests that inflation ucertainty and expected inflation effects nominal interest rates. Also inflation is affected by nominal interest rates. The empirical results indicating two way causality provides significant empirical evidence for the presence of the Neo- Fisher effect in addition to the Fisher’s hypothesis during the flexible inflation targeting period analyzed in Turkey.
Downloads
Veröffentlicht
Zitationsvorschlag
Ausgabe
Rubrik
Lizenz
The Author(s) must make formal transfer of copyright for each article prior to publication in the International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences. Such transfer enables the Journal to defend itself against plagiarism and other forms of copyright infringement. Your cooperation is appreciated. You agree that copyright of your article to be published in the International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences is hereby transferred, throughout the World and for the full term and all extensions and renewals thereof, to International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences.
The Author(s) reserve(s): (a) the trademark rights and patent rights, if any, and (b) the right to use all or part of the information contained in this article in future, non-commercial works of the Author's own, or, if the article is a "work-for-hire" and made within the scope of the Author's employment, the employer may use all or part of the information contained in this article for intra-company use, provided the usual acknowledgements are given regarding copyright notice and reference to the original publication.
The Author(s) warrant(s) that the article is Author's original work, and has not been published before. If excerpts from copyrighted works are included, the Author will obtain written permission from the copyright owners and shall credit the sources in the article. The author also warrants that the article contains no libelous or unlawful statements, and does not infringe on the rights of others. If the article was prepared jointly with other Author(s), the Author agrees to inform the co-Author(s) of the terms of the copyright transfer and to sign on their behalf; or in the case of a "work-for-hire" the employer or an authorized representative of the employer.
The journal is registered with the ISSN : 1925-4423.
IJCEAS is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
This license lets others distribute, remix, tweak, and build upon your work, even commercially, as long as they credit you for the original creation. This is the most accommodating of licenses offered. Recommended for maximum dissemination and use of licensed materials.
